In preparation for 2014, Gartner released a report titled “Gartner Top Predictions 2014: Plans for a Disruptive, But Constructive Future” outlining its top predictions for the next six years.
The report makes some startling predictions about the future of our world, often in elusive phrases reminiscent of the Oracle at Delphi. As the title suggests, from now until 2020, we have a bumpy road ahead of us thanks to technologies like 3D printing.
While Gartner also focuses on the Internet of Things, digital business and smart machines in the report, it is 3D printing that makes it relevant to us on 3DPI.
According to the report, 3D printing will have a huge impact on intellectual property, adding, “At least one major Western manufacturer will claim that intellectual property has been stolen for a mainstream product by thieves using a 3D printer, which will likely reside in the same Western market, rather than Asia, by 2015,” and, “the global automotive aftermarket parts, toy, IT and consumer products industry 3D printing caused intellectual property theft of at least $15 billion in 2016″. will report.”
How to solve such problem? The report’s authors suggest that CEOs take a look at ways to prevent counterfeiting through 3D printing and ensure the legitimacy of their goods for consumers.
The report also determined, with ancient foresight, that bioprinting would become a reality for countries in the Asia/Pacific and an ethical question for Western countries: “and, by 2015, the use of bioprinted organs will have at least one The high-profile case will be its success or failure that makes a global headline news.
The case will most likely focus on the Asia/Pacific region, with Western countries asking ethical questions about the case based more on curiosity than fear.” Gartner has made it clear that, by 2016, we will fully understand the implications of 3D bioprinting and that some people will probably have human-animal hybrid organs implanted, leading to extraterrestrial organs and Dr.
A debate would begin about the possibility of an island of Morro. To emerge full of terrible creation mistakes (though I may be exaggerating a bit with that last part).
Also there is a reduction in the number of jobs linked to the growth in digital manufacturing. Everyone is a robot away from unskilled labor and the Gartner report uses a digital pharmacy to illustrate the point:
Now, imagine a (at this time, hypothetical) supply chain in which the patient deposits their DNA (digitally, based on a blood sample analyzed by a local USB device on a laptop or tablet), and, Based on the sample, the pharmaceutical company calculates the appropriate drug—possibly leveraging third-party cloud compute capability, not a local IT department, as it requires enormous capacity.
Next, the drug is printed (using an organic or biological 3D printer) – initially at a third party print-shop for biomaterials, but later perhaps at the pharmacist or even directly at the patient’s home. Most of Today’s Unique and Important Pharmaceutical Processes (Required)
Large-scale process rigor and labor), such as batch control, secure label printing and multi-year drug approval processes, become largely irrelevant when pharmaceuticals become digitally designed, produced and administered substances. Similar scenarios can be created for media (for example, with virtual or dead actors playing CGI roles in virtual plots).
The result of all this is not only a reduction in jobs and a redistribution of wealth from labor to capital or intellectual property, but a drastic reduction in cost and price, leaving many “free”.
The offers we see now on the Internet
The report makes some bold predictions that, due to a lack of jobs and a further redistribution of wealth to the capital class, “a large-scale version of the movement occupying Wall Street will begin by the end of 2014, indicating that social The unrest will begin to fuel political debate.
By 2015, traditional paid jobs will begin to be replaced by voluntary roles in areas such as bartering-based systems and patient care, and that “by 2020, the labor shortage of digitization The impact of social unrest and new economic models will be sought. in many mature economies. Gartner is not the only one to suggest this.
If you look at the Bill Moyers Movement Action Plan model, we may be pretty close to experiencing a social revolution. And take a look at this map that shows the gradual increase in the number of protests around the world since 1979.
In addition to the peculiar paradigm shifts caused by 3DP, the Gartner report covers other key tech trends that are currently being worked on and where their trajectories lie.
His approach includes the bartering of personal data by consumers to companies like Amazon, the relative opening of previously classified data to the public by government agencies, computers that do more than learn.